Philoinvestor
Philoinvestor
Europe stopped dreaming
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Europe stopped dreaming

"No man is an island"

Europe-themed content previously on Philoinvestor


We stopped dreaming…

In the early years post introduction of the EU — there was serious talk that the Euro could challenge the global dominance of the US Dollar.

May 2008

That notion now is long forgotten. The Euro has been in a steady downtrend, as seen by the monthly long-term chart shown below.

EUR/USD Monthly, Long-Term Chart.

There was a thread on X a few weeks ago which went massively viral.

In the thread the poster touched on the following layers.

  • GDP Growth in USA > Europe

  • Technological supremacy and trillion-dollar companies — while EU has zilch.

  • Brain Drain from Europe

  • Europe is massively anti-Business and over-regulates everything

  • …read more here.

Conflicts of Interest 🇪🇺 Vs 🇺🇸

There is one angle that he did not mention, but which I saw someone allude1 to in the replies.

The US does not benefit from a strong EU. A strong EU could challenge the US in many things, the US wants a EU that it can control and push around — basically a proxy of the US.

Make Europe Great Again, Coming Soon on 🦉

Listen to the podcast for my short thoughts and look out for the piece I am sending out ($) on Philoinvestor soon. It will be extremely comprehensive and look into all angles and layers. Note: It’s not black and white.

Some of the things I will comment on:

  • When “whatever it takes” is not enough

  • The European Bazooka and the need for monetary and fiscal stimulus in the EU.

  • Dynamics in play. Domestic and foreign politics. Path dependency in shaping EU today.

  • Top-down legislation for a bottom-up domain = disaster.

  • The military conflict in Ukraine and the EU being hijacked by foreign interests.

  • Capital markets and precedent, social proof, passive flows and success. Is this a perverse version of fake it till you make it?

  • The Path Forward

  • Tools and programmes that could be employed.

  • The mental model of the “brink and back” and how I’ve learned and used this tactic from George Soros’s teachings.

  • And much much more..

“In America, people care about SUCCESS.” —George Soros

✍️🦉 For the course, philomastery.com — we launch January 2025.

1

Conflicts of Interest between the US and the EU.

Discussion about this podcast

Philoinvestor
Philoinvestor
Business Owner Mindset. Long Term Investing. Macro. Geopolitics. Polymath.
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