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Trump + AI = Trump Trap?
Breakout by Philo

Trump + AI = Trump Trap?

Issue #9. Post-Trump election moves and more AI Hype.

Nov 18, 2024
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Trump + AI = Trump Trap?
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I wrote The Spell of Donald last week to give my thoughts and throw some cold water on those getting too hot with Trump 2.0.

I talked about the hype with tariffs and deregulation, the moves in Crypto, the Dollar and Gold — as well as the small cap rotation and more.

The Spell of Donald

The Spell of Donald

Philoinvestor
·
November 13, 2024
Read full story

Now let’s look into the moves in global markets post-Trump election, and try to figure out what makes sense and what doesn’t — as we try to solve the puzzle of another Trump term.

I will start with AI and then move on to individual stocks and the macro picture — which includes the indices.

AI and AI Beneficiaries

There is no doubt that technically the AI trade is weakening across the board.

This September I introduced “The Four Groups of the AIpocalypse” as a way to break down the AI trade into segments and moving parts. 👇

From “AI Confusions & Trend Reversal”

Sharpen your pencils! ✏️


Palantir: Parabolic Short

This name is up 10X since Chat GPT was launched in late 2022, and is increasingly getting all the attention.

But it’s up 63% after it beat sales expectations in their last Q — beat by just 3%, or $20mln. It added ~$60bln in value because it beat sales by $20mln.

Obviously expectations can go WILD on such a name as it benefits from: 1) Leveraged business model 2) AI Hype 3) Big AI spending from new customers etc.

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