💬New thread from Philoinvestor

Schrödinger's Ground Invasion?

Boring start to the week with not much happening in markets, but a lot happening politically and militarily. Crashing aircraft and what not. Not to mention Pentagon top brass being ejected by Psycho Hegseth.

Trump continues his threats and ultimatums towards Iran, but at this stage the market isn't heeding much attention. Iran isn't either.

Maybe we are squarely in The Boy Who Cried Wolf stage nearing the Kitchen Sink TACO dynamic?

--> Refer to last Philoinvestor posts for context.

--> Kitchen Sink TACO can only come on a sustained sell-off, we aren't there yet.

Over the weekend we published Fog of Markets to discuss how Fog of War affects markets, as well as, the divergence between Crude Prices and Stocks. 

Markets aren't doing a good job in catching regime shifts here,  and no one is grasping the severity of events unfolding.

BTFD: We offered a thesis as to why the divergence exists before dusting up the ol' Crystal Ball to check on the future of the Gulf. 

We finished off with a discussion on the need for a paradigm shift in the American Military Doctrine. It's definitely coming.

While NO KINGS protests are sweeping the world, FinTwit seems to have chosen its own King. Not much protest there I see...

I will leave others to count vessels going through Hormuz while I go and count rubber duckies in my bath 🛁🦉